Past Performance

Loading the rail

The briefing is still coming down the wire.

Receipts

Annotated bibliography

Standing rule: if we used it, it lives here. LT is the date or the document. IT is the incentive reading. DK stays DK. AL is labelled on the card, not laundered into the referee. The number you see is 2026 money. Hover the cart for grocery money, CPI. Hover the bank for a hole scaled to GDP. The original is underneath.

  1. 01 · Index · LT

    Then-dollars, 2026 dollars

    BLS CPI-U; BEA GDP

    The number you see is 2026 money. Hover the cart for grocery money, CPI. Hover the bank for a hole scaled to GDP. Grocery uses CPI-U, August 2026 near 335 on the 1982-84=100 index. System holes use the same slice of nominal GDP, 2026 economy about $32.5 trillion.

    cards: didmca-1980, rtc-1989, ltcm-1998, tarp-pass-2008, aig-2008

  2. 02 · Investigation · LT

    When Genius Failed

    Roger Lowenstein

    The book is in the sandbox this pass. More than 40 percent a year. Gave {cpi|$5.5 billion|$2.7 billion} back, leverage 18 to 28. Policy was no haircut. Charging Scholes a haircut would have meant admitting nobody understood Black-Scholes. Merrill saw only one side. {gdp|$360 billion|$100 billion} borrowed, {gdp|$3.6 trillion|$1 trillion} in side bets. Fold and each bank holds one side of a dead contract. When you owe half of Wall Street a trillion by Monday, Treasury has a problem. The Street used rules of thumb that worked, instead of fancy math that could make you bankrupt. Consortium: stay three years, salary {cpi|$500,000|$250,000}. Partners exploded. Banks needed signatures. Wikipedia is the public link. The file is the book.

    cards: ltcm-1997, ltcm-1998

  3. 03 · Investigation · LT

    The Big Short

    Michael Lewis

    The book is in the sandbox this pass. Bundling, leftover, stamp AAA. January 2007: Okada at the Wynn, four hibachi islands, one shorter per grill and a ring of longs. Lippmann mixed the table because his shorts wanted to quit. They left at under {cpi|$500 million|$300 million} short and came back at {cpi|$900 million|$550 million}. Without the shorts the longs had nothing to buy. Wikipedia is the public link. The file is the book.

    cards: dream-2003, slices-2005, peak-2006, hibachi-2007, aig-2008

  4. 04 · Primary · LT

    The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

    FCIC

    The official 2011 file. Dissent chapters matter. Not a single-villain story.

    cards: contained-2007, bear-2008, lehman-2008, aig-2008, tarp-pass-2008, jail-2011

  5. 05 · Timeline · LT

    FIRREA and the RTC

    FDIC

    The unwind that worked. Slow, public, some jail. Taxpayers about {gdp|$720 billion|$125 billion}.

    cards: garn-1982, keating-1987, rtc-1989

  6. 06 · Primary · LT

    Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act

    Congress

    Let them grow out of it. 1982.

    cards: garn-1982

  7. 07 · Index · LT

    Enron scandal

    Britannica

    SPEs, mark-to-market, Andersen, SOX. The audit passed.

    cards: levitt-2000, enron-2001, sox-2002

  8. 08 · News · LT

    Kind Words for Andersen

    New York Times

    Lay's letter to Levitt killing auditor independence. LT as a document.

    cards: levitt-2000

  9. 09 · Primary · LT

    Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?

    Raghuram Rajan / Jackson Hole

    The 2005 warning the room did not want.

    cards: jackson-2005

  10. 10 · Timeline · LT

    Near Failure of Long-Term Capital Management

    Federal Reserve History

    The room, the dates, Bear's no.

    cards: ltcm-1998

  11. 11 · Investigation · mixed

    Crazy Eddie fraud

    accounts of Sam Antar / court record

    Brooklyn, not New Jersey. The carnival. Inventory at night. The audit passed. The cubicle lesson. Sam Antar.

    cards: eddie-1987

  12. 12 · Timeline · LT

    Managing the Crisis: The FDIC and RTC Experience

    FDIC

    The unwind that worked, then closed. Greenwich treated the close as a license.

    cards: rtc-1989, rtc-1995

  13. 13 · Primary · LT

    SEC Consolidated Supervised Entity program

    SEC / GAO aftermath

    Forty to one. The cubicle wrote the haircut. Bear and Lehman used it.

    cards: sec-2004

  14. 14 · Index · LT

    S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index

    S&P

    The peak. The address was already empty in the sand states.

    cards: peak-2006, contained-2007